Agricultural Carbon Emissions in Henan Province: Influence Mechanism, Regional Differences and Spatial Effects

摘要

Exploring the effective and efficient path of agricultural carbon emission reduction in Henan Province is of great significance to optimizing the strategic layout of China's agricultural emission reduction and carbon sequestration.Accordingly,the agricultural carbon emissions of each county were measured scientifically and then the spatial measurement model was utilized to clarify the spatial and temporal evolution trend and spatial effect mechanism of agricultural carbon emissions based on the county data of Henan Province from 2010 to 2020.The results showed that:(1) in 2020,the total agricultural carbon emissions were 134.7274 million tons,with the high distribution in the southeast and low distribution in the northwest;(2) the spatial dependence of agricultural carbon emissions showed a four-stage trend of fluctuating down-continuing up-plummeting-fluctuating up again,and the spatial heterogeneity was dominated by low-low agglomeration,followed by high-low agglomeration;(3) there was an inverted U curve relationship between the level of agricultural economic development and agricultural carbon emissions.The increase in the level of agricultural mechanization and urbanization rate significantly reduced agricultural carbon emissions.The opposite was true for the financial support for agriculture,the income level of rural residents and the structure of the agricultural industry;(4) in terms of spatial spillover effects,the increase in the level of agricultural development in neighbor counties first increased and then decreased agricultural carbon emissions in Henan Province.The mechanization level and urbanization rate of neighbor counties reduced agricultural carbon emissions in Henan Province,and the opposite was true for the income level of rural residents and the scale utilization of agricultural land.

关键词

Henan Province / agricultural carbon emission / spatiotemporal evolution / spatial spillover effect