农村产业融合水平对农村居民消费结构升级的影响效应分析^*

Analysis of the Impact of Rural Industrial Integration Levels on the Upgrading of Rural Residents' Consumption Structure

摘要

农村产业融合“基在农业、惠在农村、利在农民”。文章从需求侧视角出发，利用2013-2023年中国26个省份面板数据，构建双向固定效应模型，系统检验农村产业融合水平对农村居民消费结构升级的影响及机制。结果表明：农村产业融合显著促进了农村居民消费结构升级，并可通过促进农村居民收入增加推动农村居民消费结构升级；同时，农村产业融合水平对农村居民消费结构升级的促进作用在农民流动性较低的中西部地区更强。进一步研究发现，农村居民自建房的投资偏好在其中发挥负向调节作用，削弱了农村产业融合对消费结构升级的促进效应。据此，应培育多元化的农村产业融合主体，强化住房建设与产业发展的协同，完善劳动力技能培训体系，以充分释放农村消费潜力、推动城乡协调发展。

Abstract

Rural industrial integration is "grounded in agriculture, benefits rural areas, and serves farmers." This article adopts a demand-side perspective, utilizing panel data from 26 Chinese provinces spanning 2013-2023 to construct a two-way fixed effects model. It systematically examines the impact and mechanisms of rural industrial integration levels on upgrading the consumption structure of rural residents. Results indicate that rural industrial integration significantly promotes consumption structure upgrading among rural residents and can drive this upgrading by increasing rural incomes. However, its impact exhibits significant heterogeneity: the level of rural industrial integration exerts a stronger promotional effect on consumption structure upgrading in central and western regions where farmer mobility is lower. Further analysis reveals that rural residents' investment preferences toward self-built housing exert a negative moderating effect, weakening the promotional impact of rural industrial integration on consumption upgrading. Based on these findings, it is recommended to cultivate diversified entities for rural industrial integration, strengthen synergies between housing construction and industrial development, and improve labor skill training systems to fully unleash rural consumption potential and promote coordinated urban-rural development.

关键词

农村产业融合 / 消费结构升级 / 农村居民收入 / 自建住房

Key words

rural industrial integration / consumption structure upgrading / rural residents' income / rural self-built housing

参考文献

[1] 王亚萌, 邹凡, 卢玮楠, 等. 产融兴农: 农村产业融合发展示范园试点政策对提高农村居民收入与公共服务供给的影响效应研究[J/OL]. [ 2024-12-12]. 中国农业资源与区划. https://link.cnki.net/urlid/11.3513.S.20241212.1129.012.

[2] 洪名勇, 王极, 田梦婕. 农民专业合作社对农户消费结构升级的影响[J]. 消费经济, 2023, 39(5): 90-101.

[3] 李晓龙, 冉光和. 农村产业融合发展如何影响城乡收入差——基于农村经济增长与城镇化的双重视角[J]. 农业技术经济, 2019(8): 17-28.

[4] 苏毅清, 游玉婷, 王志刚. 农村一二三产业融合发展: 理论探讨、现状分析与对策建议[J]. 中国软科学, 2016(8): 17-28.

[5] 张培风, 贺灿飞. 消费结构升级与区域经济复杂度[J]. 人文地理, 2025, 40(1): 68-79+100.

[6] 李琳, 田彩红. 农村一二三产业融合促进了县域共同富裕——来自长江经济带579个县域的证据[J]. 农业技术经济, 2024(4): 59-75.

[7] 申云, 王锐, 张海兵, 等. 县域农村产业融合发展与城乡收入差距变迁[J]. 西南大学学报(社会科学版), 2022, 48(5): 60-72.

[8] 张晓芳, 李亚茹. 我国农村产业融合的消费效应及路径研究[J]. 华南农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2025, 24(1): 58-71.

[9] 葛继红, 王猛, 汤颖梅. 农村三产融合、城乡居民消费与收入差——效率与公平能否兼得?[J]. 中国农村经济, 2022(3): 50-66.

[10] 胡立君, 王芳. 农村三产融合影响农村居民消费的空间效应及传导机制研究[J]. 贵州师范大学学报(社会科学版), 2024(4): 77-88.

[11] 宋泽, 邹红, 赵达. 中国消费内生动力: 收入增长下的涓滴效应研究[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2023, 40(1): 5-24.

[12] 范叙春. 收入增长、消费结构升级与产品有效供给[J]. 经济与管理研究, 2016, 37(5): 16-24.

[13] 刘广明. 推进农村住房消费的政府干预探析[J]. 云南社会科学, 2017(6): 1-7+184.

[14] 刘国强, 韩振, 李金锴. 信贷获取对农村居民家庭消费结构升级的微观效应研——基于CFPS的实证分析[J]. 经济社会体制比较, 2024(5): 78-90.

[15] 张林, 温涛. 数字普惠金融如何影响农村产业融合发展[J]. 中国农村经济, 2022(7): 59-80．

[16] 张岳, 周应恒. 数字普惠金融、传统金融竞争与农村产业融合[J]. 农业技术经济, 2021(9): 68-82.

[17] 杨孟阳, 唐晓彬. 数字金融与经济高质量发展的耦合协调度评价[J]. 统计与决策, 2023, 39(3): 126-130.

[18] 张驰, 雷小雨. 农村产业融合与农业绿色转型: 影响效应及其作用机制[J]. 农业经济与管理, 2024(6): 155-167.

[19] 江艇. 因果推断经验研究中的中介效应与调节效应[J]. 中国工业经济, 2022(5): 100-120.

[20] Cao G, Li K, Wang R, et al. Consumption structure of migrant worker families in China[J]. China & World Economy, 2017, 25(4): 1-21.

[21] Jin H, Du C, Wang M, et al. Reducing the consumption gap between urban and rural areas: The role of rural industrial integration in China[J]. Sustainability, 2024, 16(23): 10646.

[22] Lu Y, Yu Y, Wu G. Effects of rural industrial integration development on the performance of entrepreneurial enterprises of returning college students[J]. Humanities & Social Sciences Communications, 2025, 12(1): 65.

[23] Shen Y, Sargani G R, Wang R, et al. Unveiling the spatio-temporal dynamics and driving mechanism of rural industrial integration development: A Case of Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, China[J]. Agriculture-basel, 2024, 14(6): 884.

基金资助

*国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJY180)