基于PMC指数模型的长三角地区水利投融资政策量化研究

Quantitative research on water conservancy investment and financing policies in the Yangtze River Delta region based on the PMC index model

摘要

【目的】开展水利投融资政策量化分析，可为后续相关政策的制定与完善提供重要参考，有利于加快水利高质量发展进程。【方法】综合运用内容分析法和文本挖掘技术，对长三角地区水利投融资政策进行整理分析并建立评价指标体系，通过政策建模一致性(PMC)指数模型对长三角4个省(市)8项政策进行量化分析，进而提出政策完善路径。【结果】结果显示：(1)政策设计总体较为合理，所选取的8项政策均为优秀政策，无完美、可接受和不良政策；(2)各省(市)水利投融资政策在政策受众、政策性质、政策评价等方面具有明显优势，但在政策工具、政策激励等方面存在一定不足，亟待改进。【结论】通过对长三角地区水利投融资政策进行量化研究，可为我国不同区域相关政策的制定与完善提供重要借鉴。

Abstract

[Objective] Conducting quantitative analysis of water conservancy investment and financing policies can provide crucial references for the formulation and improvement of subsequent related policies, accelerating high-quality water conservancy development. [Methods] Content analysis and text mining techniques were comprehensively applied to organize and analyze the water conservancy investment and financing policies in the Yangtze River Delta region, and an evaluation index system was established. The Policy Modeling Consistency(PMC) index model was applied to conduct quantitative analysis of eight policies from four provinces(municipalities) in the Yangtze River Delta, and improvement pathways were proposed accordingly. [Results] The result indicate that:(1) the overall policy design was relatively reasonable, with all eight selected policies rated as excellent and none classified as perfect, acceptable, or poor.(2) The water conservancy investment and financing policies in provinces(municipalities) showed notable strengths in policy targets, policy nature, and policy evaluation. However, there were certain shortcomings in policy instruments and policy incentives that required urgent improvement. [Conclusion] Through quantitative study on water conservancy investment and financing policies in the Yangtze River Delta region, important references can be provided for the formulation and improvement of relevant policies in different regions of China.

关键词

水利投融资 / PMC指数模型 / 文本挖掘 / 政策量化评价 / 长三角地区 / 影响图素

Key words

water conservancy investment and financing / PMC index model / text mining / policy quantitative evaluation / Yangtze River Delta Region / influencing factors

基金资助

国家自然科学基金青年项目(72404169)

教育部人文社会科学研究项目(24YJC630094)

国家社科基金重大项目(2019ZDA089)