一种快速测算水电站碳排放的方法

A method for quickly calculating carbon emissions from hydropower stations

摘要

在“双碳”目标和“双控”制度实施的背景下，为更客观地反映水电工程的环境影响与环境效益，将碳排放指标纳入水电工程的环境影响评价体系已成为必然。然而，目前绝大多数水电工程均缺乏碳排放的实测数据，使得开展更为系统的环境影响评价研究遇到困难。以雅砻江锦屏一级水电站作为案例，收集并标准化了国内6个已建水电工程的相关参数，做了应用模糊聚类法计算无实测数据水电站的碳排放量的尝试。结果表明，模糊聚类法可以更准确快速地定量预测水电站的碳排放情况，从而能为环境影响评价工作提供更为科学的依据。

Abstract

In the context of the implementation of the “dual carbon” goal and the “dual control” system, in order to more objective ly reflect the environmental impact and environmental benefits of hydropower projects, it has become inevitable to incorporate carbon emission indicators into the environmental impact assessment system of hydropower projects. However, at present, most hydropower projects lack measured data on carbon emissions, making it difficult to carry out more systematic environmental impact assessment research. Using the Jinping I Hydropower Station on the Yalong River as a case study, relevant parameters from six domestic hydropower projects are collected and standardized. A fuzzy clustering approach is then applied to estimate the carbon emissions of hydropower stations lacking measured data. The result show that the fuzzy clustering method can more accurately and quickly quantitatively predict the carbon emissions of hydropower stations, thereby providing a more scientific basis for environmental impact assessment work.

关键词

双碳目标 / 双控制度 / 模糊聚类法 / 碳排放 / 环境影响评价

Key words

dual carbon goals / dual control system / fuzzy clustering / carbon emissions / post environmental impact assessment

Author summay

黄思炜(1999—), 男, 硕士研究生, 研究方向为环境影响后评价。E-mail: [e-mail]