复合灾害对城市配电网防灾减灾能力影响的思考与展望

陈彬; 陈浩; 王雅琦; 梅梅; 王国复

doi:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2025.S2.087

水利水电技术（中英文） ›› 2025, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (S2) : 531 -536. DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2025.S2.087

运行管理

复合灾害对城市配电网防灾减灾能力影响的思考与展望

陈彬 ¹^,² ,
陈浩 ¹^,² ,
王雅琦 ³^,⁴ ,
梅梅 ³^,⁴ ,
王国复 ³^,⁴

作者信息 +

Impact of compound disaster on the disaster prevention and mitigation capability of urban power distribution networks: past, present and future

Bin CHEN ¹^,² ,
Hao CHEN ¹^,² ,
Yaqi WANG ³^,⁴ ,
Mei MEI ³^,⁴ ,
Guofu WANG ³^,⁴

Author information +

文章历史 +

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摘要

全球变暖背景下极端事件频发，人口密集度的增加以及生态环境更加脆弱导致我国更容易遭受极端事件影响。大多数情况下极端事件不是单独发生，而是通过不同气象因子相互作用连续或同时发生。复合灾害通常比单一灾害事件更具危害性，并由多种影响因素驱动。通过国内外文献调研以及结合国家气候中心实际业务，梳理了配电网极端事件应对以及复合灾害应对的研究进展。结果表明，目前对配电网防灾减灾的研究大多局限于单一灾害，对复合灾害内在联系、致灾机理、演化规律以及行业影响都缺乏研究，针对配电网所在区域的复合灾害时空分布特征及其变化的研究甚少，复合灾害对配电网致灾危险性的影响研究仍处于空白阶段。从复合灾害的时空演变特征及其对配电网防灾减灾能力影响的角度提出思考和建议，为预防和应对复合灾害提供科学依据，降低其对电力基础设施的影响。

Abstract

The frequency of extreme events in the context of global warming, increased population density and greater ecological fragility have made our country more vulnerable to extreme events. In most cases extreme events do not occur in isolation, but through the interaction of different meteorological factors. Compound disasters are usually more hazardous than single disaster events and are driven by multiple influences. Based on literature review and combined with the actual of National Climate Center, the current response measures of the power distribution network on extreme events and the research progress of compound disasters are discussed. At present, most of the studies on the impact of power distribution network disaster prevention and mitigation are limited to the single disaster. There is a lack of research on the intrinsic connection of compound disasters, the disaster-causing mechanism, the evolution of the law, and the impact of the industry. And there is very little research on the characteristics of the spatial and temporal distribution of compound disasters and their variabilities in the distribution network area. The study of compound disaster risk for the power distribution network is still in the blank stage of the hazardous effects of disaster. Therefore, some thoughts and suggestions will be put forward from the perspective of the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of compound disasters and their impact on the current status of the power distribution network's ability to prevent and mitigate disasters, highlighting the necessity and urgency of researching the impact of compound disasters on the electric power industry, and providing a scientific basis for preventing and responding to compound disasters to reduce their impact on electric power infrastructures.