基于MIKE Basin的袁河流域枯水期水库群联合供水调度研究

温天福 ,  邹鉒 ,  游进军 ,  赵楠芳 ,  马真臻 ,  刘鑫

水利水电技术(中英文) ›› 2026, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (1) : 33 -44.

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水利水电技术(中英文) ›› 2026, Vol. 57 ›› Issue (1) : 33 -44. DOI: 10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2026.01.003
气候变化驱动下干旱的多尺度响应机制与韧性适应路径专栏

基于MIKE Basin的袁河流域枯水期水库群联合供水调度研究

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Study on coordinated water supply scheduling of reservoir groups during dry season in Yuanhe River Basin based on MIKE Basin model

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摘要

【目的】2022年鄱阳湖流域遭遇罕见的夏秋连旱、汛期极枯的干旱事件,河流和水库水位持续降低,开展流域水库群供水联合调度可缓解水资源供需矛盾突出的问题。【方法】以赣江袁河流域为例,选取10个重点供水工程和30个关键供水对象,运用MIKE Basin构建了流域水库联合供水调度模型,提出水库联合供水调控措施并分析流域供水调度效果。【结果】针对2001、2007年和2022年等典型年份,袁河流域有山口岩灌区、袁河水厂、飞剑潭灌片、袁南灌区、袁惠渠灌区、濛河灌区等6个用水户存在缺水现象,缺水率范围为0.2%~28.9%;在采取调整山口岩、飞剑潭和江口水库供水限制水位,调整山口岩水库供水对象以及新增水库工程等3种调控措施后,主要用水对象缺水程度有明显改善,缺水率平均下降7.2%;在90%、95%和99%3种来水频率下,山口岩灌区、飞剑潭灌片及袁惠渠灌区缺水率平均下降7.41%、3.46%和2.28%。【结论】根据实际缺水情况提出的水库调控措施,有效改善了枯水期流域灌区等主要用水对象的缺水程度,可为流域应对极端干旱事件提供技术支撑。

Abstract

[Objective] In 2022, the Poyang Lake Basin experienced a rare drought event with consecutive summer and autumn aridity and extremely low water levels during the flood season, leading to sustained declines in river and reservoir water levels.Implementing coordinated water supply scheduling for the reservoir groups in the basin can alleviate the prominent imbalance between water supply and demand. [Methods] Taking the Yuanhe River Basin( a tributary of the Ganjiang River) as an example, 10 key water supply projects and 30 critical water supply targets were selected. A coordinated water supply scheduling model for reservoirs in the basin was established using the MIKE Basin model. Coordinated water supply regulation measures for reservoirs were proposed, and the water supply scheduling effects in the basin were analyzed. [Results] In typical years such as 2001, 2007, and 2022, six water consumers in the Yuanhe River Basin, including the Shankouyan irrigation area, Yuanhe Water Plant, Feijiantan irrigation area, Yuannan irrigation area, Yuanhuiqu irrigation area, and Menghe irrigation area,experienced water shortages with water shortage rates ranging from 0. 2% to 28. 9%. After implementing three regulation measures, including adjusting the limit water levels of water supply for Shankouyan, Feijiantan, and Jiangkou reservoirs,adjusting the water supply targets for Shankouyan reservoir, and adding new reservoir projects, the water shortage levels of the main water consumers significantly improved, achieving an average 7. 2% reduction in water shortage. Under three inflow frequencies of 90%, 95%, and 99%, the water shortage rates for Shankouyan irrigation area, Feijiantan irrigation area, and Yuanhuiqu irrigation area decreased by an average of 7. 41%, 3. 46%, and 2. 28%, respectively. [Conclusion] Based on the actual water shortage conditions, reasonable reservoir regulation measures are proposed, which effectively improves the water shortage levels of major water consumers, such as irrigation areas in the dry season. These measures can provide technical support for the response to extreme drought events in river basins.

关键词

极端干旱 / 供水调度 / 缺水率 / MIKE Basin模型 / 袁河流域

Key words

extreme drought / water supply scheduling / water shortage rate / MIKE Basin model / Yuanhe River Basin

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温天福,邹鉒,游进军,赵楠芳,马真臻,刘鑫. 基于MIKE Basin的袁河流域枯水期水库群联合供水调度研究[J]. 水利水电技术(中英文), 2026, 57(1): 33-44 DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2026.01.003

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基金资助

国家重点研发计划(2023YFC3206002)

江西省水利科技项目(202325ZDKT14)

中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室开放研究基金(IWHR-SKL-202215)

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