农业新质生产力与农业全要素碳生产率耦合协调关系及影响因素分析

The coupling and coordination relationship between agricultural new-quality productive forces and total-factor carbon productivity, and their influencing factors

摘要

为探究农业新质生产力与农业全要素碳生产率的耦合协调关系及时空特征,基于2015至2023年我国31个省份数据,采用熵权法、耦合协调模型及空间计量模型实证分析.结果表明,1)两项指标显著提升,耦合协调度从初级协调过渡至中级协调,协同性增强;2)耦合协调度呈稳定空间集聚,东部沿海“高-高”集聚、中西部“低-低”集聚;3)经济发展水平等5项为核心影响因素,经济发展水平与地形起伏度正向影响,城乡收入差距与自然保护力度负向影响.

Abstract

This study explores the coupling coordination relationship and spatio-temporal characteristics between new quality productivity in agriculture and agricultural total factor carbon productivity. Based on panel data of 31 provincial-level regions in China from 2015 to 2023, empirical analyses are conducted using the entropy weight method, coupling coordination model and spatial econometric model. The results show that: 1) Both indicators have increased remarkably, with the coupling coordination degree evolving from primary coordination to intermediate coordination and presenting growing synergies; 2) The coupling coordination degree exhibits steady spatial agglomeration, featuring high-high agglomeration in eastern coastal areas and low-low agglomeration in central and western regions; 3) Five factors including economic development level serve as core influencing factors. Economic development level and terrain relief exert positive effects, while urban-rural income gap and nature conservation intensity produce negative effects.

关键词

农业新质生产力 / 农业全要素碳生产率 / 耦合协调关系 / 时空分析 / 主导影响因素

Key words

agricultural new-quality productive forces / total-factor carbon productivity / coupling coordination relationship / spatiotemporal analysis / dominant influencing factors

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基金资助

国家社会科学基金(20BJL069)