基于LSTM-熵权TOPSIS的双排抗滑桩地震损伤动态评价
马雅清 , 牌立芳 , 李爱春 , 谭勇 , 褚耀光 , 吴红刚
自然灾害学报 ›› 2026, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (4) : 176 -188.
基于LSTM-熵权TOPSIS的双排抗滑桩地震损伤动态评价
Dynamic evaluation of seismic damage of double-row anti-slide piles based on LSTM-entropy weighted TOPSIS
地震频发区边坡地震稳定性问题已成为工程自然灾害领域的研究热点。抗滑桩作为边坡抗震加固的核心构件,其地震损伤演化机制研究对保障工程安全具有重要意义。针对当前抗滑桩地震响应损伤预测评价研究不足的问题,本文通过振动台模型试验构建双排抗滑桩-边坡体系振动响应测试系统,同步采集不同峰值地面加速度(peak ground acceleration,PGA)地震波作用下桩体加速度及动土压力数据。基于长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory,LSTM)建立地震损伤位移预测模型,结合熵权法-逼近理想解排序法(entropy weight method-technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution,EW-TOPSIS)构建多指标耦合损伤评价体系。研究结果表明,LSTM模型通过捕捉桩-土体系强非线性特征,显著提升了位移预测精度,验证了模型的可靠性。熵权法权重分析显示,位移指标占损伤评估的主导地位,其中水平向(X)地震波主要触发桩基部位移,纵向(Z)波则显著影响桩顶位移,随着峰值地面加速度增大,位移指标权重呈非线性增长,揭示桩-土体系在强震下由局部变形向整体失稳转变的损伤演化机制。熵权-TOPSIS综合评价模型证实双排桩损伤呈现显著空间异质性,山侧桩损伤程度较河侧桩提升47.2%,后排桩损伤较前排桩降低26.7%,并发现0.2 g PGA为损伤模式转换临界点。以桩身位移和动土压力为指标,建立了抗滑桩地震响应损伤预测评估模型,进而为抗震结构设计优化、结构健康监测以及边坡治理提供支撑。
The seismic stability of slopes in earthquake-prone areas has become a hot research topic in the field of engineering natural disasters. As the core component for seismic reinforcement of slopes, the study of the seismic damage evolution mechanism of anti-sliding piles is of great significance for ensuring engineering safety. In response to the current lack of research on the seismic response damage prediction and evaluation of anti-sliding piles, this paper constructs a vibration response testing system for a double-row anti-sliding pile-slope system using shaking table model tests, simultaneously collecting data on pile acceleration and dynamic soil pressure under seismic waves with different peak ground accelerations (PGA). A displacement prediction model for seismic damage is developed using the long short-term memory (LSTM) network, and a multi-indicator coupled damage evaluation framework is constructed by integrating the entropy weight method and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (EW-TOPSIS). The results show that the LSTM model significantly improves the accuracy of displacement prediction by capturing the strong nonlinear characteristics of the pile-soil system, validating the reliability of the model. The entropy weight analysis indicates that displacement metrics dominate the damage assessment. The horizontal (X) seismic waves mainly trigger the displacement at the pile base, while the vertical (Z) waves significantly affect the pile top displacement. As the PGA increases, the weight of the displacement index increases non-linearly, revealing the damage evolution mechanism of the pile-soil system, from local deformation to overall instability under strong seismic conditions. The entropy-weight-TOPSIS integrated evaluation model confirms that the damage of the double-row piles exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity, with the mountain-side piles having 47.2% more damage than the river-side piles, and the damage of the rear piles being 26.7% lower than the front piles. Furthermore, 0.2 g PGA is identified as the critical point for damage mode conversion. Using pile displacement and dynamic soil pressure as indicators, a seismic response damage prediction and evaluation model for anti-sliding piles is established, providing support for seismic structural design optimization, structural health monitoring, and slope management.
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