基于决策树分析模型大数据治理的危重病情 AI预警

翁成骐 ,  陈斌

西安交通大学学报(医学版) ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3) : 424 -432.

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西安交通大学学报(医学版) ›› 2026, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (3) : 424 -432. DOI: 10.7652/jdyxb202603004
智慧医疗专题

基于决策树分析模型大数据治理的危重病情 AI预警

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AI early warning of critical illness based on decision tree analysis model data governance

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摘要

目的 引入5G、大数据治理技术,构建及时处理多层次多种类医学数据的人工智能(artificial intelligence, AI)预警系统,旨在早期发现预警危重病情。方法 利用5G模块实时采集ICU床边数据,经标准化治理后,采用决策树筛选关键特征,并结合循环神经网络(recurrent neural network, RNN)构建总体与个性化病情预警模型。模型预警通过集成平台实时推送至医护人员终端。结果 共纳入4 053例患者(人工组3 022例,AI组1 031例)。与人工预警相比,AI总体预警模型显著缩短了干预启动时间(中位数2.8 min vs. 4.0 min,P<0.01),提升了干预成功率(中位数72.9% vs. 52.6%,P<0.01),并降低了并发症发生率(中位数28.2% vs. 42.7%,P<0.01)。该模型受试者工作特征曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)为0.845,灵敏度为87.7%,特异度为68.0%。经过半年学习优化后,模型AUC提升至0.857。结论 基于5G与大数据治理的AI预警模型能有效实现ICU危重病情的早期预警,改善临床结局,具备临床推广潜力。

Abstract

Objective To introduce 5G and big data governance technology to build an AI early warning system capable of processing multi-level and multi-type medical data in a timely manner, aiming to detect and warn critical illnesses at an early stage. Methods 5G modules were used to collect real-time bedside ICU data, which underwent standardized processing. Key features were selected using a decision tree algorithm, and both general and personalized early warning models for critical conditions were constructed by integrating recurrent neural networks (RNNs). The model's alerts were pushed in real-time to healthcare staff terminals via an integrated platform. Results A total of 4 053 patients were included (3 022 in the Manual Group and 1 031 in the AI Group). Compared to manual warning, the overall AI warning model significantly shortened the intervention initiation time (median: 2.8 minutes vs. 4.0 minutes, P<0.01), improved the intervention success rate (median: 72.9% vs. 52.6%, P<0.01), and reduced the complication rate (median: 28.2% vs. 42.7%, P<0.01). The model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.845, with sensitivity of 87.7% and specificity of 68.0%. After six months of learning and optimization, the model's AUC increased to 0.857. Conclusion The AI-based early warning model, built upon 5G technology and big data governance, can effectively achieve early warning of critical conditions in the ICU and improve clinical outcomes, and thus holds potential for clinical promotion.

关键词

5G / 大数据治理 / 决策树模型 / 危重病情 / 人工智能(AI) / 预警模型 / 机器学习 / ICU

Key words

5G / big data governance / decision tree model / critical illness / artificial intelligence (AI) / early warning model / machine learning / ICU

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翁成骐,陈斌. 基于决策树分析模型大数据治理的危重病情 AI预警[J]. 西安交通大学学报(医学版), 2026, 47(3): 424-432 DOI:10.7652/jdyxb202603004

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基金资助

浙江省卫生信息学会重点项目资助(2025XHAQ-Z04)

杭州市科技局项目基金(2023WJC296)

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